Finding a border in hockey betting can sometimes be tough and the majority of the time that it results in a blown tire and a comprehensive yard sale. There are, however, a few tendencies that seem to keep true year in and year out and I have identified one in respect to NHL scoring I believe could be beneficial to TV ratings and, even more importantly, to your sportsbook account.
The trend I’m speaking of is that scoring goes up — way up — when teams get rest. Yesterday evening, the first slate after the all-star game, was a microcosm of the as we saw that a total of 99 goals played in 14 games. That’s over seven goals per match, and an OVER/UNDER record of 11-2-1. That wild night closed out per month which saw a major increase in scoring which raised the NHL goals per game league moderate to 5.46 and watched teams article a 185-162-31 OVER/UNDER album — a six percent increase in OVERs from the prior months.
A potential reason for this boost in scoring is that the recently instituted bye weeks. The NHL recognized that scoring started to dive in January because of the intense schedule that its players were exposed to and wished to do something to curb the tendency. It is a well-established fact that when scoring goes down, so do ratings, and this bye week is an easy way to acquire players rested a little to give that scoring the little boost it requires from the dog days of the NHL season without making a basic change to the rule book. These bye weeks will conclude at the end of the month and I believe that you will almost immediately see scoring return to normal.
A Couple of teams to aim on the OVER right now are the Wild, Capitals, Blackhawks, Penguins, Stars, Jets and Blues. Throughout the month of January, those groups combined for a 62-22-8 OVER/UNDER record and should simply continue to do damage on the scoresheet in another month or so. One thing you may notice is that every one these teams come in the Central and Metropolitan divisions. These are both highest-scoring branches in hockey and it is not close.
Something to look out for is a change in NHL totals. Books are slow to adjust NHL lines and if they do, they likely already missed the tendency or are attempting to convince you to bet 1 way or another. Whenever your book starts throwing out totals of 6 and 6.5, err on the side of caution and possibly avoid those games completely. Nevertheless, you need to hammer the OVER whenever you see some of those groups I mentioned previously get a total of 5 or 5.5 before the present scoring trend stops.
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