The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with announcement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU defeat the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take over a place in the race to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a stage in the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating several decisions since he went 11 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the greatest offensive start in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school football. That includes the 45 they dropped on Texas on the road.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar that the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring shield keep this near? Or will Burrow and the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and win the bet? Heres the full breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in the skill of Burrow . He has converted into a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the best receiving teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has good length using his 63 frame and has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who can fill the spot. It is all part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit they have played with . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by the other opponents of LSU: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Even though its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of the standard of Burrow, florida sits in 33rd. Theyve played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a large ceiling.
Burrow will also face a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami about the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to be their very best pass-rusher coming in to this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive line, while his awareness need to enhance from the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in line yards, and is the finest in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and can be 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask off his game. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and sprained a knee in the last match.
With the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit should produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is regarded as DBU for the gift they have on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
On the opposite side of him would be Kristian Fulton, who enabled the smallest quantity of downs this past year out of returning FBS corners. It will be a force if given an opportunity against a driven Trask though this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, that has not got their running game going yet. broke a tackle at the line on his way. Even with this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also is going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be potent. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky game.
It places ways pressure on Trask at a hostile environment, Should they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned admiration after last week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out with a win from LSU from Death Valley, I do see this game remaining closer than most.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, and Burrow is just one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to install 45 or anything close to that against a defense whos known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has fully evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the group has relied on them the Gators defense will wear out over time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject to a PI.
However, I do not anticipate this. Maintaining the match in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the proper wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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